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金价徘徊五个月来低点 静待更多数据

关键字:金价下跌

【行情回顾】

现货黄金价格周一大跌后周二陷入低位整理,价格在欧洲时段下探1218.32美元/盎司后再度反弹,现报1224美元。本周稍早时强劲的美国制造业数打压金价下跌,市场再次认定美联储会在经济复苏之际提出缩减量化购债规模的决定。

【基本面分析】

本日内出美国12月IBD/TIPP经济乐观指数外没有其他美国数据公布,因此可能将延续震荡行情。不过本周可以说是比较关键的数据周,包括几大央行的利率决议,也包括重量级的经济数据,市场最为关注的是11月的非农数据,皆因非农数据可能会影响到市场对于年内美联储货币政策的判断,甚至是美联储年后最后一次货币政策会议的结果,预计本周金价波动较大。相信随着美联储缩减QE的临近,市场对贵金属的看空情绪依然很高。

【数据指引】

关注今晚数据:

9月美国房屋销售数

10月美国房屋销售数

ISM非制造业指数

ADP就业人数

【技术分析】

早期关键支撑位1238被击破后金价反弹乏力,短期金价仍会向下尝试,预期要到1180-1200附近才会有较强力支持,所以今日金价会在1203-1228波动。

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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