黄金现货价格突破压力线 后续将有反弹空间
关键字：黄金现货价格
【基本面】
由於明日感恩节是美国公共假期，所以上周初请数据於今日提前公布，上周初请人数为31.6万，好於市场33万的预期，近期初请数据维持在32万左右，显示就业市场的复苏依然平稳。同时公布的美国10月耐用品订单月率为-2.0%，略差於预期的-1.9%，由於与预期差别不大，市场走势较为平稳。今日的经济数据中，影响较大的反而是美国11月芝加哥采购经理人指数，11月芝加哥采购经理人指数为63，虽然略差於前值65.9，但高於预期的60，数据公布後，美元突然全面上涨，美元/日元汇价迅速上破了102整数关，而欧元/美元，以及英镑/美元均迅速自日内高位附近回落，商品货币则迅速扩大了跌幅。
随後的时段内，市场走势平稳，汇市基本维持区间震荡，并未再度扩大日内走势。日内走势并未对近期的区间走势造成改变，欧系货币虽然维持上涨，但并不能确认突破近期的震荡走势，欧元/美元虽然上破了50日均线，但冲高回落的十字星走势并不能确保随後走势继续上行，英镑/美元同理，冲高回落之後也并未能确认突破近期的区间。商品货币虽然继续下行，但前期区间震荡的纽元/美元虽然继续下行，但依然并未突破100日均线，令下行趋势是否延续依然怀疑，考虑到明日纽约时段休市，周五纽约时段提前三小时休市，随後两日市场可能依然倾向於区间震荡。
【技术分析】
日图显示，黄金在强劲美国房市数据打压下，金价回吐周一的全部涨幅，不过昨日又反弹收复跌幅，从短期的这种震荡走势难以判断后续方向，不过四小时角度或能为我们提供较为明朗的线索。四小时图显示，金价昨日受10月30日以来形成的压力线阻碍回落，不过在布林带中轨附近持稳后目前再次且有效突破了该压力线，且RSI指标伴随再次站上50水平， 因此昨日走势倾向延续反弹。鉴于突破压力线有效缓解下行压力，后续或有反弹空间，因此若投资者在目前位置做多，建议止损于昨日低点1240下方附近，若符合预期目标看向1275。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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