市场缺乏明确方向 黄金现货行情保持弱势
关键字：黄金市场、黄金现货行情
【基本面】
近期市场依然缺乏明确的主线，走势也均以区间震荡为主，很少有明确的单向走势，欧系货币近期虽然持续反弹，但如果关注日图，区间走势依然明显，商品货币亦然，近期商品货币与欧系货币的走势分化。这种行情很容易让交易节奏打乱，因为没有统一的观点，反复的震荡走势容易令人迷失方向。
明日英国将公布第三季度GDP修正值，英镑/美元的汇价今日“恰好”再度反弹至近期的区间顶部，这种情况下，上破或者再度下行，技术走势均有合理性，所以不排除明日的数据公布後，市场出现大幅波动的可能。纽约时段将公布美国10月耐用品订单数据，在昨日提到过，耐用品订单将会直接影响对於GDP增长的预期，目前无论是美联储还是此前的调查均显示，美国第四季度的GDP增长年率预期为2%左右，这个预期是考虑到美国政府停摆的消极影响所得到的，而在此前预期的带动下，明日的订单月率预期非常低，前值为增长3.7%，而预期却为下滑1.7%，但从近期的经济表现来看，美国政府停摆的影响非常有限，关注明日的经济数据是否会有意外表现。
【行情分析】
金价仍然处于上落，消息缺乏，但spdr黄金持仓持续减小至852公吨水平，反映资金外流，后市看淡。瑞银集团一更表示明年spdr持仓会继续减小300公吨，原因是退市时间渐渐明确，相佢减小买债时期愈来愈近。11月22日在期金市场有1.85忆美元的沽货合约，相信是大户所为。现时伊朗问题是市场关注消息，但相信对金价影响有恨，技术阻力位1255不破，仍可沽金。当然，站隐此水平可追入做多。现货黄金行情弱势不变，反弹更有可能完结，下市今年低位1180只是时间问题。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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