国际现货黄金弱势难改 仍处空头行情
关键字：国际现货黄金、现货黄金行情
【行情分析】
上周五美国亚特兰大联储总裁洛克哈特称，美联储将在即将到来的12月议息会议上讨论是否开始着手缩减量化宽松政策。该言论令市场更加担心未来面临资金偏紧和通胀抬头的风险，导致金价下跌。此外，全球最大黄金上市交易基金SPDR Gold Trust上周五减持4.50吨黄金，至852.21吨，为2009年2月以来最低，并且是11月1日以来最大减幅。其实，现阶段决定黄金价格走势的基本面因素非常简单，即美联储何时开始缩减宽松政策。今年7月，美联储暗示不急于退出宽松政策，金价在随后的两个月内反弹约17%；而随着美国经济资料转好，尤其是在10月非农就业数据意外表现强劲之后，实物黄金便重回弱势格局。因此，只要市场上对于美联储退出宽松政策的时点判断不出现大的调整，料金价弱势行情大概率将不会改变。按照以往经验，金价出现转向的时机，也应该是在非农就业数据公布以及美联储主席讲话等事件之后。因此在12月6日的非农就业数据公布前，金价理应维持上落格局。
【技术分析】
金价在亚市创出近期低位1223.59美元/盎司后陷入整理，美国早盘小幅反弹至1237.35美元/盎司，由于日内数据和消息清淡，黄金现货陷入低位震荡，料延续疲弱格局。金价目前受阻于20日以来的下行趋势线1237美元，如破，下一关键阻力位于1250美元，为10月低位所在，也是11月下行趋势线所在。无论是基本面还是技术面，金价目前仍处于空头行情。
【今日关注】
00:30 CH 瑞士央行行长乔丹发表讲话
02:00 US 2年期国债拍卖
06:15 AU 澳大利亚储备银行副行长洛威发表讲话
07:50 JP 企业服务价格指数(年比)
07:50 JP 日本央行货币政策会议
18:00 UK 通胀报告听证会
21:30 US 新屋开工(年比)
21:30 US 新屋开工(年比)
21:30 US 营建许可(月比)
21:30 US 营建许可(月比)
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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