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黄金投资者不看好现货金 将进一步下跌

关键字:黄金投资、现货黄金投资、黄金下跌

【基本面】

上午行情,美元指数上周录得反弹,周五收于月度高点附近。本周,由于感恩节的到来,汇市交投将有所减少。尽管如此,我们仍然认为美元有可能会出现大的波动。本周美国方面相对稀缺的数据有可能让美元继续维持区间震荡,然而,来自日本方面的因素有望带动美元指数的走势。之前美元指数的上涨有很大一部分归功于美元/日元的拉升。而本周,日本方面大量的风险事件预示着同样的走势或将再度释出。

【行情分析】

现货金上周曾跌至每盎斯1,236美元,是四个半月低位。美国上周申领失业金人数跌至两个月低位,10月零售表现又胜预期,连同储局会议纪录显示,储局仍倾向数月内开始退市,加上欧美通胀低迷下,黄金作为对冲通胀工具的功能下跌。国基会报告显示,德国央行于10月份沽出3.421吨黄金,是五个月以来第二次减持,而全球最大黄金交易所买卖基金SPDR黄金信托,截至上周四止的黄金持仓下跌至856.71吨的近四年低位,反映政府及投资者对黄金的后市不看好。预测今日金价1210-1250。

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