黄金早盘延续震荡 市场选择观望
关键字：黄金市场
【行情分析】
黄金早盘延续了昨日的震荡态势，在风险事件来临之前，市场选择观望。今晨美联储主席伯南克发表讲话，给出了相对宽松的长期利率前瞻指引，在对经济的看法上则与耶伦寻求一致，表示美国经济并不乐观。该讲话未能有效催动金价，改变其窄幅震荡的现状。 年内，美联储退出QE的时间安排仍然是贵金属交易潮起潮落所遵循的基本面主旋律，而本周接下来的时间内出炉的美联储会议纪要及数个美国经济数据均与该主题高度相关。目前众多分析师均在推测美联储高官的想法，而上一届会议时各委员的发言情况或将令市场得以更好地“揣摩圣意”，同样，由于美联储数字官员曾屡次强调经济数据对于决策的重要性，本周以美国CPI为首的数据对于衡量美国经济状态进而推测退出QE的时间同样必不可少。 在风险事件出炉前，黄金或将继续震荡，下方关注7月10日以后的低位 (1251.5美元) ，上方则可观察1294.3的前度高位。黄金/美元现报1274.3美元每盎司。
【技术分析】
黄金价格窄幅震荡，日图价格受阻于10日均线压力，下方支持关注6月以来上行趋势线，短期观看是否能够企稳，暂时观望。
操作建议：
1、 阻力位1423.7、1360、1336，如果破败，可以逢高做空；
2、 支持位1253，如果反弹，逢低做多；若破败，则逢高做空；
3、支持位1200、1180.15，若反弹，可空头回补平仓。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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