削减QE有望被延后 金价重拾升势
关键字：金价走势
【基本面】
在市场认为美联储有望缩减量宽之际，耶伦在参议院银行业委员会面前听证会上的讲话呈现鸽派，美股周四上涨。而且，美国初请失业金数据差于预期，也使得市场开始认为美联储缩减量宽的概率有所降低。
由于市场关注耶伦听证会上的讲话，释放鸽派言论，市场认为耶伦将延续美联储的量宽政策。
在为参议院听证会准备的证词中，耶伦几乎没有怎么直接涉及货币政策前景，而是强调了目前仍然疲软的实体经济和就业市场。叶伦当日出席国会听证会时表示，美国经济与就业仍远低于实质潜力，且复苏力道疲弱，故只有在状况有所改善后，FED才能缩减购债规模。叶伦当日偏鸽派的表述令投资人紧张情绪降温不少。
但她认为目前的资产并未被过高估值，这或许也暗示着哪怕到了2014年，美联储也还将继续延后对QE的削减。
【行情分析】
昨日国际现货金一开市就处于1281美元，较上日收在1275美元高开，原因是早上在亚盘开市前，市场上已预先泄漏在晚上11时才公布美联储委任耶伦的听证会所发表的结果，加上在开市后，在早上8时受现任美联储主席伯南克的讲话，在现时没有退市的时间表，这番言论，再次推动金价在亚盘时走高到1286美元，其后以上落市况维持到欧盘开市，受到美元汇价做好在81点子的近期高位，美元走强，打压全价在1288美元附近作向下回调，下行走势直到临近美盘开市前才得到支持，在1281美元重拾上升走势，因美盘投资者仍然关注在晚上11时美联储委员会提名耶伦的听证会结果，美股开市走势几乎持平，资金流入金市，再次推升金价到1294美元的高位，其后作。经过前两天受到美联储局的消息及多项数据公布所影响，令金价连续两天向上做好，而今天没有重要数据，主要是在欧盘时段晚上6时公布欧元区10月核心消费者物价指数年率，预测与前价0.8%持平。今天预计金价以较细波动上落市为主，而近期美国国债息率做好，有机会令资金从历史新高的股市抽离，流入金市及债券市场，今天建议区间在1275~1306美元附近。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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