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10月非农就业人数意外增加 金价呈弱势

关键字:10月非农就业数据、金价走势

【基本面】

美国10月非农就业人数意外增加20.4万,远高于市场预期的12.5万,失业率从7.2%升至7.3%,符合预期。另外,9月份就业人数从14.8万上修至16.3万,8月份数据从19.3万上修至23.8万。另外10月私营部门就业人数增加21.2万,增幅为2月以来最强。政府部门就业人数减少1.2万。

此前市场普遍担忧受到政府关门的影响,10月失业率或大幅飙升,就业岗位或大幅减少。不过今天的数据无疑又是一大意外。该数据表明美国经济复苏并没有市场所担忧的那样疲弱,且随着财政问题的解决,第四季经济或加快复苏。美股期货在数据后下跌,延续昨日美国GDP数据后的跌势,因好于预期的数据使得美联储或较预期提前削减QE,打压股市,提振美元。

进入第四季度,美国经济数据可能再次走强,使得市场将再次炒作美联储削减QE这一热门话题,美股将承压。

北京时间周六凌晨美联储主席伯南克将发表讲话,同时还有多位美联储官员的讲话,当然重点是伯南克讲话,关注他对10月就业数据的看法,是否将暗示削减QE的时间,这些信息都可能加剧市场的波动。

【技术分析】

从日K线来看,运行于布林带中下轨位置,布林带缩口,其短中长期指标持平向下运行,附图MACD指标0轴位置死叉打开,指标弱势;4小时K线运行于布林带下轨位置,布林带开口,起短中长期指标向下发散运行,附图MACD指标0轴下方死叉打开,指标强势;周五一线大跌后,黄金价格再次走空,周K线运行于布林带中下轨位置,布林带缩口,其MA5、MA10日均线粘合,附图MACD指标0轴下方持平运行,指标中性弱势。

操作建议:

1、初见1280-1282一线多,止损1277.5,目标1286-1289

2、初见1288-1290一线空,止损1293.5,目标1284-1282

3、上方1298-1300做空,止损1303.5,目标1294-1292

4、下方1273-1275做多,止损1270,目标1282-1285-1288

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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