美元指数震荡攀升 金价下行至1310美元
关键字：美元指数、金价下跌
【基本面】
联储局货币事务主管英格利殊在报告中表示，失业率高于6.5%就不会加息的策略，为经济提供了有效的刺激，更低的失业率升息门坎或有帮助。
他更指出，据他的研究模型显示，若将作为加息门坎的失业率进一步调高至6%甚至5.5%才加息，可能对刺激经济更有效。这意味储局将等就业市场的形势明显好转才会加息，而同时亦是近年推动大市向上的主要动力。而专家表示效用或更大。美元被打压。下半年金价看升。 同时，欧元持续强势，令人担心欧元区面临通缩危机。市场预期欧洲央行决不坐视不理，料最快12月减息，亦令美元走低。金价受支持。重磅消息看明晚非农数据，仍然看升不变
【行情分析】
近期美国公布的经济数据表现良好，而欧元区的经济数据则明显弱于预期，令欧元兑美元大幅下滑，推升美元指数振荡攀升。使得国际现货金金价本周初受累承压震荡下行至1310美元附近震荡整理，后市欲再度测试1300美元关口的重要支撑。
本周投资者关注的焦点为周末的美国非农就业数据，因此，数据公布前，市场观望气氛浓厚，交投相对清淡。
【技术分析】
日图显示，金价本周初上触1320美元附近阻力后震荡下行，跌至1310美元附近整理。短线走势的持续疲弱令金价短线仍具一定的下行动能。但鉴于金价已逼近1300美元关口的重要支撑，且技术指标短期亦面临短期方向性的选择。使得在短线交易上，需警惕金价短期或将出现先抑后扬的逆转行情。稳健投资者宜暂时观望为上，待金价区间整理突破后再跟进。短期上方阻力1320美元。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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