11.6黄金价格走势分析（2013）
关键字：11.6黄金价格走势分析（2013）
行情回顾：欧洲时段，市场缺乏消息推动，ICE美元指数出现上涨乏力迹象，目前暂时受阻周图重要阻力，商品在近期低点徘徊，黄金在1310-20区间震荡，白银则在22整数位下方整理。
【基本面】
澳储行周二举行11月利率决议，维持基准利率在2.5%历史低位，行长斯蒂文斯继续使用口头干预的方式来打压澳元汇率，斯蒂文斯表示“为了使澳大利亚经济实现再平衡澳元需要在未来进一步贬值”，政策风险令澳元承压走弱，不过该事件对美元和金属产品影响有限。中国10月汇丰服务业PMI从52.4升至52.6，显示服务业在四季度初呈现加速扩张的迹象，前期公布的汇丰和官方制造业采购经理人指数也显著改善，三季度以来上述关键经济活动指标显著回升不仅确认中国走出放缓困境，更暗示产出有望在四季度加速扩张，有望为铜价提供短期支持。
北美时段关注美国10月ISM非制造业指数，经济学家预期从54.4小幅降至54.0，低于预期的结果可能短暂打压美元回落，超预期改善的数据则有望推动美元进一步反弹，无疑会加重贵金属下行压力，上周五公布的美国10月ISM制造业指数意外升至56.4创两年半新高，一度为美元提供强劲反弹动能。考虑到本周后半段存在欧央行利率决议和非农报告等重量级风险事件，数据对市场的影响可能受到限制，预计在决议和非农结果揭晓前金属市场难以形成大行情。
【技术分析】
金价暂时低位整理，日内试图反弹但受阻100日均线，日图价格短期继续以看跌为主，下方支持关注6月末上行趋势线1270，上方阻力是1340。
日图价格试图反弹，但暂时受阻100日均线，均线系统仍倾向看跌，短期继续寻机逢高做空。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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