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10.22白银价格走势分析(2013)

关键字:10.22白银价格走势分析(2013)

【行情分析】

周一,贵金属市场投资者等待将在本周晚些时候公布的,一系列因为联邦政府关门而被延迟的重要经济数据,以此评估经济增长的前景,以及联储是否会很快开始对每个月850亿美元的资产采购项目规模进行调整,黄金价格出现了过去四个交易日以来的第三次上涨走势;此外,本周还将有大量美股市场上市企业披露最新一个季度的财报,同样也是市场参与者关注的焦点,主力黄金合约周一场内交易中小涨收于每盎司1315.80美元。

当前市场关注的焦点乃是今日即将公布的非农就业数据以及美联储的未来政策走向。回溯之前的就业数据,发现7、8月的非农就业数据并不理想,9月ADP就业数据表现也不乐观;再加上近来的债陷僵局,令市场对美国经济的信心大跌。不过需要注意的是,政府关门是从10月1日开始,理论上并未影响到9月就业数据。本公司研发部认为:上面的分析可以看出,今日非农就业数据的分析难度很大。不过可以确定的一点是,美国经济还存在很大的问题,美联储的政策必将继续宽松,即便9月非农就业数据较为乐观,贵金属的受挫也是暂时性的。

【技术分析】

白银日线昨日报收中阳线,显示多方力量强劲,仍占据市场主动。在昨日中阳线基础上,行情展开4连阳行情,而今日又恰非农公布,市场震荡恐将加大。但从近日短线稳扎稳打推进看,行情回落空间恐将有限,那么意味上涨仍为目前主旋律,反弹行情仍未结束。日内仍待行情小幅回落后企稳进多即可。日线MACD指标靠拢零轴,市场空翻多意愿强烈,若市场维持高位整理,行情未来将由反弹逐步转变为反转行情。但目前仍需按反弹技术操作。跟随市场趋势即可。

操作建议:

现货白银:行情4小时级别稳占稳打,逐级向上推进,但亚欧盘面推动力量有限,恐将适当回落,可待天通银回测4330-4360区间企稳做多,仓位3成,止损40点,止盈80-120点。

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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