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贵金属行情月线大跌8.65% 年底前陷整理

关键字:贵金属行情

叙利亚问题舒缓,且美国联储局意外释出鸽派动作,全球股市于九月份强势上攻。分析师表示,叙利亚问题可望以外交手段解决,而前美国财政部长桑默斯宣布弃选下届 Fed 主席,市场期待联储局政策将倾向宽松,且在本月利率会议后,联储局更意外送出大礼,维持购债规模不变,非市场原先预估地小幅缩减,加以全球经济数据多显示温和复苏迹象,令全球股市月线出现大涨走势。

【行情分析】

贵金属逆势下挫,月线平均大跌8.65%。分析师指出,联储局出乎市场预期维持每月债券购买规模于850亿美元不变,一度激励金价大幅反弹至近1370美元,不过,叙利亚军事危机暂缓,令避险需求消退,且市场揣测联储局未来仍有缩减宽松政策的机会,恐不利黄金长期的投资前景,在金价回调下,连带拖累相关个股表现。另外,根据彭博信息最新调查,市场分析师对于今年第四季金价平均价格预估仅在1300元左右,预期在年底前,金价可能陷入整理阶段。

金价今早暂企稳于1320上方,欧洲开盘前更一度升至1328附近,但暂时市场对消息的消化常有不同,故亦令金价时高时低,欠缺明显方向,金价于区间波动,下周国庆黄金周价期,料对实金需求有支持作用,金价预计在1300-1360之间大型上落。

 

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