黄金经历30年最大下跌幅度 目前为长线投资时机
关键字:黄金下跌
【基本面】
上周美联储宣布暂时维持850亿购债不变后,金价在短时间内由1290美元升至1375,但周五美国圣路易斯联储主席表示十月份有机会削减购债,令金价由近期高位回至本周最低1305附近,而市场在静待美国债务上限到期前,维持在比较窄幅的区间上落,高位只在1338附近。
世界黄金协会新任主席表示,现在是黄金新趋势的开始,而这趋势甚至可能维持数十年。首先在今年四月,金价经历了三十年来最大跌幅的同时,亦同时引发了极大的需求量,而这也是长期持有黄金的消费者出现,当中包括正在增加中产阶级的亚洲国家,尤其在全球占了超过一半黄金需求的印度及中国。这样也为黄金做了一个稳固的基础。而协会主席亦表示,在2012年度,亦是各国央行购买了历史上最多的黄金。而他最后亦表示会开发新的黄金产品,无论是零售还是投资类型,特别针对在欧洲地区,会推广黄金作为投资工具的功能。
因为以上种种因素,黄金将会是未来投资不可缺少的一种产品,黄金需求增大,现时只是刚刚起步,故现时黄金的价格,长线投资絶对是一个不错的时机!
【技术分析】
现货黄金周三(9月25日)收于带上下影线的小阳线。金价最高触及1337.90美元/盎司,最低下探至1316.50美元/盎司。
金价周三小幅收升,1290支撑效果逐步显现。但尚不能断言金价自此展开反弹,其目前仍存部分下行动能。目前仍建议观望,待1380初步支撑遭强穿后追升更为稳妥。
周四(9月26日)亚市盘中,现货黄金小幅回落。金价关键支持位在1380,下方阻力于1290。
阻力位:
1433.40 8月28日高点
1400.00整数关口
1394.38 9月9日高点
1374.80 9月19日高点
支持位:
1291.59 9月18日低点
1272.64 8月7日低点
1250.34 7月11日低点
1200.00整数关口
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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