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罗杰斯称黄金价格回调 预估本周波幅较大

关键字:黄金价格

【基本面】

美联储上周会议出人意料地维持购债规模不变,令市场倍感意外,与此同时也让市场考虑未来货币政策的前景,市场或将再次聚焦10月和12月会议。在这两次会议上是否会缩减购债以及具体在哪次会议上缩减购债将牵动亿万投资者的心。

在印度和中国结婚和假期旺季到来前,亚洲实物黄金需求依旧疲弱,尽管周二在金价跌向1,300美元时,出现一些逢低买盘。

印度8月黄金珠宝出口因美国需求改善而较前月增加,不过出口商仍面临黄金供应紧俏的局面,因印度央行采取措施应对该国不断上升的贸易逆差。

Anglo American Platinum南非矿工及建筑工会主席表示,该工会成员将举行罢工,以抗议裁员。

罗杰斯指出,黄金已经连涨12年,当前金价正处于回调期,且调整过程还未结束,预计调整将是今年黄金市场的主基调。罗杰斯表示,在当前价位下,他没有买入黄金,但他一直都持有黄金,且从未卖出,并表示如果金价跌到1000美元/盎司以下,他将大幅增持黄金。

同时,罗杰斯还对即将离任的美联储主席伯南克提出了尖锐批评,认为伯南克的表现简直完全就是一个“灾难”,并指出美联储的问题是印钞过度,引发全球主 要国家央行竞相贬值本国货币,人为制造流动性泛滥。

 

【行情分析】

美联储官员的讲话将为市场揣摩美联储对待QE态度提供指引。

因为未来关注焦点必定是10月和12月的议会,所以连续几个交易日波幅也非常大,在1290-1380,预计直到12月之前会有一个大规模的横行空间上落,会在1270-1420上落,而今天预测黄金期货价格会在1310-1340上落。

 

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