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金价走势需关注美国政局动向

关键字:金价走势、美国政局

伯南克在FOMC会议后的记者会中曾表示担心财政问题会影响美国经济。虽然美联储官员的预测依然乐观,但若债务上限谈判陷入僵局便会扰乱市场,因而危及美国信贷评级、商业投资和就业情况。

若原本已经不济的经济增长雪上加霜,缩减计划可能会进一步推迟至2014年初。美联储一直都在向交易员和市场传达其目的。所有人都指责美联储没有提供适当的指引,但伯南克向记者表示他从没提及过会在9月的会议中开始缩减买债。美联储自今年初便开始为缩减买债铺路,不断向市场传达其减少购债的意图,让市场做好心理准备,并借媒体继续向外推广。但每次美联储都不断强调减少买债必须建基于良好的经济数据。

美国8月的非农业就业数据弱于预期,只创造了16.9万个新职位,而7月的数字也下调至10.4万个。市场已经很久没有出现过20万个以上的非农业新职位。虽然,近几个月的整体失业率有所下滑,8月的失业率已经跌至7.3%,但这也只是因为长期求职者离开劳动市场,不纳入计算在劳动人口当中。有分析员在Briefing.com写道:“若劳动参与率维持于7月的水平,失业率便会上升至接近7.6%。”

对于黄金交易员来说,将于10月4日公布的美国9月就业报告一如以往将会是瞩目的焦点,但华盛顿的债务危机讨论也不容忽视。回顾2011年的时候,政治僵局和债务上限的争论导致美国股市挫,同时也带动金价升至历史新高。这种戏码会否在今秋的美国国会中再次上演?让我们密切期待!


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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