美国就业形势严峻 美元贬值 金价上升
关键字：美元贬值、金价上升
【行情分析】
美国劳工部上周五公布的数据显示，美国8月非农就业人数增长16.9万人，预期增长18.0万人；而7月非农就业人数修正后为增长10.4万人，初值为16.2万人。而美国8月份失业率降至7.3%，预期为7.4%；7月数据未作修正，为7.4%。
虽然失业率有所下滑，但就业形势依然令市场担忧。就业报告公布后，美元下跌，资金流入金市，金价上升。虽然现在还没明确指出美联储缩减QE是否在9月的议会上采取行动，但大部份市场人士都认为美国会于本月时间减小买债规模（100～150亿），所以若消息确实，金价即市会有调整。
大田環球貴金屬分析师认为美联储这次就算不缩减购债，也会明确的指出对QE的方向。现时市场最关注的是叙利亚局势，明天总统奥巴马会发表讲话，游说市民的支持，攻打叙利亚。
【技术面分析】
周线图看，本周金价最高触及MA30一下遇阻开始回落，下方低点将近布林中轨，加上收取的带上下影线等长的K线，则下周这个区间的突破是关键，如果上方破位MA30也就是本周高点1415一线，上方还将有空间，反之，如果下破布林中轨，下方空间必然还将放大；
日线图看，上周五收取实体大阳柱，且最低点比周四的最低点低，最高点次于周四的最高点，则下周一还会有一定惯性上涨的需求，上方如果破位不了MA10于1398-1400一线，预计还会出现回落，下方重点关注MA30的支撑，一旦回落成功破位的可能性也是非常大。
【操作分析】
预测金价1370-1410。
1、黄金价格见下方1385-88做多，止损1382，目标1393-95-1398；
2、1400首次见可做空，破了1403继续反弹至1412位置；
3、下方跌破1378反弹1382-84一线空，止损1387，目标1375-68破位持有；
4、短线而言看看金价到1405水平，可沽，目标1350，本周波幅维持1420～1350。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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