QE3未明确纸黄金价格反弹势头难结束
关键字：纸黄金价格、黄金反弹
纸黄金周一欧市盘中回落低位窄幅波动，目前纸黄金价格交投在274.4附近。黄金在相当长时间的震荡之后，由于美国因美国新屋销售数据减少至新低为导火索，致使纸黄金价格到达1400附近，但是这只是表象的。
那么深入的原因就是美联储内部官员无法对9月份的QE3无法给出一个很明确的答案，因为纠结，就意味着当前经济环境还不足以对9月份缩减QE打绝对包票。
那么本周，整体来看消息面相对清淡。但市场将密切关注美国GDP/耐用品订单/房市等数据，以及英国央行行长卡尼的讲话。
此外，近期数据屡屡传捷报，欧元区经济能否持续走出衰退值得关注。此外，杰克逊霍尔央行年会还将在周六周日(8月24、25日)持续，料将影响下周市场交投情绪。
今日金价日内继续创下新高，最高到276.3附近，短暂的上冲之后金价开始震荡；多头继续扩散，如果周线的M10和MA5均线开始放量的话，则黄金价格在本月底或者是下月初可能会逼近265附近，多头已经发力两个星期，附图指标虽然有钝化和弱势迹象，但是MACD金叉多头能量柱依然节节高攀。
日线上看，从大的趋势来看，纸黄金价格自低位243的多头继续反弹的势头远远没有结束，如果此第三波浪还处于多头尾部的话，那么短期的高点应该至少在280附近。
纸黄金价格日线第三波上涨浪之后会有一波的下行回调浪，之后便开始第五波浪的继续多头上行，那么如果把276.3当做高点的话则今日黄金价格日内的回调目标在271附近。
如果今天金价下破271便开始第四波回调浪的话，则跌幅客观，但是276.3是第三浪的高点是不科学的。也就是说日内最低点也只可能在271附近。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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