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预计QE退市 金价短暂下跌后将上扬

关键字:QE、金价下跌

金价一直在试横行区的高低位,即使公布了上次的会议记录亦无影响,因为对市场都未能提供到很明确的方向。

今年的焦点都放在QE政策上,市场预期美国的QE政策会于今年年底退市,理论上量化宽松政策的确会令到金价回调,但要留意一点的是金价其实在上半年已回调了接近30%,相反也会被QE退市影响的美股仍未有明显回调,意味着当美股回调时,资金寻找出路,有机会流入金市,所以我相信QE退市对金价可能会出现一个短暂的回调,之后再逐步上扬。

另外,世界黄金协会都预期中国和印度的实金需求将突破1000吨,对金价无疑是个很大的支持。

预期今日金价会在1348-1390美元。

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