一旦美联储落实缩减QE 金价将再次下跌
关键字：美联储、金价下跌
对于近期黄金上涨的原因，市场分析人士指出，首先，在投资者已充分消化了QE退出的预期后，美欧经济复苏带来的通胀担忧开始升温，带动暴跌后的黄金反弹。其次，金价在几个月的暴跌中，令空头持仓量达到历史平均水平的2倍，任何利多的扰动或引发空头回补，导致金价回暖。同时，2013年2季度以来，中国内地借道中国香港进口的黄金量达到100吨/月以上，年化进口量达到1000吨以上，中国黄金消费市场依然旺盛，且伴随着四季度黄金消费旺季的来临，需求对金价存利好。此外，市场资金大幅撤出新兴市场，转向买入欧元、瑞士法郎等风险货币，令美元有所承压从而支撑黄金。
澳新银行称，因中国强劲的黄金需求以及黄金ETF持仓量的回流，预计年底金价为1380美元/盎司。目前多数贵金属行情预计，年内金价或将保持震荡，下跌幅度有限。
建议投资者不可过分看多黄金后市，若年内美联储缩减QE的措施一旦落到实处，金价或将面临新一波下跌。操作方面，建议短线高抛低吸，前期的中线多单可继续持有。若美联储缩减QE的措施有进一步的进展，金价或将应声下跌。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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