进入黄金首饰旺季 印度却难言金价反弹
关键字：黄金首饰、金价反弹
进入8、9月黄金首饰消费旺季，金价反弹却可能难期待。
自8月中期开始到11月份排灯节，印度传统节日对于黄金的需求有望抬升，不过此前印度央行出台的限制黄金进口的措施，可能压制部分需求。市场担忧，上述需求的增长，可能难以填补金融市场对于黄金的抛售。数据显示，全球最大黄金ETF –SPDR持仓量已降至自2009年以来的最低水平。
分析人士认为，在下降周期之后，由于国内上半年的疯狂购金，或许目前黄金价格下行也会在一定程度打压季节性消费需求。
从黄金供需来看，世界最大的黄金生产矿商巴里克黄金公司计划出售或关闭12座矿山。分析师认为，这也是实体经济对于金价大幅下跌的反应，当然同时供给减少的预期，理论上也会在一定程度上对金价形成支持。
多位分析人士预计，四季度黄金整体继续维持弱势的可能性较大，需要注意的是，即便9月美联储未如预期缩减QE，黄金可能短线出现报复性反弹行情。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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