美联储不会提前收紧购债规模 黄金有望反弹
关键字:美联储、黄金反弹
目前美国联邦政府的自动减支措施并未对美国经济造成太大的负面影响。这一点从非农就业人口、耐用品订单等。一系列经济数据的走势可以看出,经历3月的断崖式下跌后,大部分经济数据在4月恢复到自动减支措施启动前的水平。
紧缩政策未对经济造成巨大冲击的原因至少有三点:
1、美国仍处于2013财年,财政预算案早在2012年既已确定,因而自动减支措施尚未大面积落实;
2、经济复苏以及年初增税政策导致财政收入大幅增加;
3、美联储宽松政策对经济的提振作用。
所以预计美联储不会在10月前收紧购债规模,而欧元区经济缓慢复苏,以及即将到来的黄金消费旺季对价格的积极影响,贵金属价格后市有望迎来反弹走势。
分析师预测:
金价预测上方阻力位1250,由于上周五收市价是1313美元,今日高开1329美元形成缺口,所以预测区间1308-1348。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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