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金价行情受QE影响不跌反升 未来观望良好

关键字:金价行情、QE

高: 1317; 低: 1305

美国6月芝加哥联储全国活动指数初值是 -0.3, 结果 -0.13较之前好, 但较预期0.0差, 显示美国经济逐渐复苏, 不过, 金价不跌反升, 主要受美联储主席伯南克的演讲(缩减QE政策)影响, 金价由上星期五的1297附近徘徊, 到昨日穿破1300一直升至现在的1335附近徘徊。

另外, 美国6月成屋销售月率结果是 -1.2%, 较之前4.2%及预期1.4%差, 这也是其中一个主要影响金价上涨的原因。

中国7月经济平稳向好,工业生产增幅超出预期,进出口形势也双向扩张。2013年第一季全球黄金消费量比下降三分之一,因生产商减少黄金量已达到平衡市场的目的。

本人预计未来金价会在1330 – 1340 徘徊; 市场焦点主要集中于德国7月消费者物价指数年率终值、美国7月政府预算和美国7月核心零售销售月率等数据。

 

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