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金市一周回顾与展望

行情分析

金价上周出现一波亮丽行情,盘中最高曾见1298接近1300水平,之后回软至1276再收市于1281附近,收于5周线附近。

由于美联储主席伯南克6月至7月之间,两次作出对退市模凌两可的陈述,投资者比较谨慎。

伯南克周三在讲话后的问答环节中表示,通胀较低,美国财政政策十分紧蹙,在可预见的未来仍需要高度宽松的货币政策。

伯南克认为,虽然当前失业率已降至7.6%,但美国总体就业形势仍旧严峻。

失业率降至6.5%不会自动引发升息,需要在一段时间后才会升息。

显然伯南克的表态与新发布的会议纪要形成呼应之势,两者的鸽派论调令黄金不再踌躇强势反弹,迅速涨向1300美元一线。

现货金在周5纽约时段稍微回落,这是因为美国6月生产者物价指数月率增长0.8%,较预期上升了0.3%,比起5月上升0.3%

除了经济数据外,同时市场已逐渐消化美联储鸽派的言论,美元因此逐步向上反弹。

此外,塞浦路斯方面也表示不会抛售中央银行黄金储备,这消息舒缓了市场忧虑。

大田環球貴金屬 分析师 指出

暂时在上方重要的阻力关口,金价暂时受阻,维持高位震荡。

相信美元会在短期内走强,让金价受压,黄金有机会跌至近期的低位1190

今天暂时没有重要数据公布,预计金价会在12801300区间窄位波幅上落。 


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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