近来多见利好消息,影响黄金力度会加大
最近港股随美股反复偏软,因为过去比较大影响的消息围绕美国停止QE及买债,市场近半年都随美国经济复苏等利好消息令市场炽热,而最初于六月份美国于2014年中停止QE,甚至进一步会提高美国当地利率,消息引起市场短期内大量抛售,恒指曾一度跌穿一万九千点关口,显然市场预期美国退市未有太大信息,虽然如此,相对地美金走向强势,令黄金价格持续受压,因为美金受加息预期消息带动市场仍有避险情绪,带动整体美国经济有利支持,黄金亦因此跌穿1200美金,低位见1180黄金,是近三年来低位,初步预料价格调整力度不大,黄金价格都会依据黄金成本价(即1250美元)价位徘徊,最快会在星期五美国非农业就业数据及失业率公报日作出较大变化,根据市场预期,非农16.5万,失业率7.5%,与上月预期一样,反映市场依然尚在官网美国经济是否能达致持续增长,预料消息影响金价跌幅不大,预期为上月低位1180美金作支持位,见高位1400美金,弱偏差更大,更会突破1400美金阻力位,因为近来消息利好数据饱和,所以创造升幅影响黄金价格力度会更大。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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