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本周黃金价格影响因素

黄金周一连升两天,涨幅一度超过2%,因技术性买盘和投机客空头回补抵消了对美联储将缩减购债规模的担忧。同時,美元走软和机构资金在第三季度首日流入市场也为金价提供支援。而上周五,金价触及近3年低位1180.20美元,加上美国6月ISM制造业指数从49.0升至50.9,略高于市场预期的50.5。尽管6月制造业处于扩张,但就业分项指数为2009年9月来首次跌破荣枯分水岭50.0,利好黄金工业上需求。本周五,美国劳工部将公布重磅数据——失业率和非农就业人数,目前市场预期美国6月失业率将从5月的7.6%降至7.5%,预期6月非农就业人数增加为17万人,略低于5月的17.5万人。若实际数据不及预期,可能会引发市场推测美联储将减缓退出宽松政策的步伐,从而利好金价;反之,若实际数据好于预期,则可能会利空金价。短线上方阻力1273,下方支持1245。


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