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投资大鳄加特曼:黄金将会下跌的三大理由

以下为投资大鳄加特曼(Dennis Gartman)预期黄金将下跌的三大理由:

1.宽松的货币政策不再。

Gartman说黄金需要动能,而且是大量动能,才能走高。这动能就是宽松的货币政策。但Fed已表示,宽松政策的时代已近结束,所以这动能正在减少。

2.其他商品亦在下跌。

Gartman说,黄金也需要其他商品的协助,以引发通货膨胀。然而商品市场并未上涨。谷物市场摇摇欲坠,能源市场稳定,原油价格上涨,但天然气则下跌。

3.追缴保证金。

Gartman说,黄金即将有“追缴保证金”的问题。股市表现疲弱,投资人将由黄金市场筹集保证金。

早前报道:

加特曼通讯社创始人(Gartman Letter)、投资大鳄加特曼(Dennis Gartman)周一(6月17日)在接受媒体采访时畅谈他对黄金的一些见解。如下:

黄金高位已经持续近两年了。

黄金未能创新高并冲破多个趋势线支撑。

黄金是受损的商品,并且价格可能继续走低。

黄金可能会下跌,尽管各界都报道美联储(FED)会扩大黄金储备。

趋势线似乎偏下行,如果冲破1200美元/盎司,那么下一个支撑点为1000美元/盎司。

媒体评论员Brian Sullivan对此作了深刻见解。他把黄金比作一位老运动员,仍有投资者偏好它,不过黄金的最佳时刻还在后面,不会重现光辉时刻。Brian认为,”黄金鼎盛时期已经到来了。”

另一方面,如果黄金不受所有利好消息影响出现反弹,那么它会因什么而回升呢?加特曼认为,根据商品交易最古老的的交易法则,经济信息利好的情况下,若该商品不能反弹,那就意味着这是熊市市场。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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