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黄金暴跌无下限 全线下挫6%

周四(6月20日),国际现货黄金价格收盘下跌近100美元,跌幅超6%,创下2008年金融危机以来最大单日跌幅。现货白银也随之下挫,跌破20美元/盎司,为33个月以来首次。

市场普遍认为,此次黄金暴跌与美联储发布的退出QE计划有直接关系。周三(6月19日),美联储给出迄今为止最为明确的暗示,计划结束QE政策,将从今年晚些时候开始缩减每月850亿美元的资产购买计划,随后全球金融和商品市场开始全面走低,国际金价不断刷新今年4月12日崩盘以来的地点。美联储此番缩减资产购买规模的前景加大了有关利率上升和通货膨胀率下降的担忧,这是对金价颇为不利的两个因素。金价暴挫,黄金投资需求也跟随降低。全球最大的黄金上市交易基金SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量减少0.2%,至四年以来最低。

实物黄金需求也在下滑,对黄金市场施压。在4月金价大跌之后,全球掀起了一股购金热潮。4月和5月由于金价暴跌刺激消费增长,印度在这两个月分别进口了146吨和162吨黄金。进入6月后,中国和印度的实物需求开始回落了,印度政府限制黄金进口的措施开始生效。

周四黄金暴跌6%,盘中1300美元重要关口毫无抵抗失守,破位下跌唱响熊市主基调。金价走跌方向明朗化进一步清晰。目前重点关注突破后跌幅的力度和幅度,下降趋势在1250美元附近技术支持前有一定企稳要求,有效下破才会展开更深级别的下跌行情。面对黄金这种暴跌无下限的态势,市场开始出现恐慌性抛盘,是否意味着贵金属理财投资的脚步就应该停下了呢?答案当然是否定的!


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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