印度贸易赤字触及7个月高位 因黄金进口太强势
印度周一(6月17日)表示，由于黄金(1384.60,1.50,0.11%)进口量飙升，印度5月贸易帐赤字触及7个月来高位。但经济学家预计，印度近期公布上调黄金进口税可能为该国强势的黄金需求降温，并缩窄其贸易帐赤字。
数据显示，印度2013年金银进口量较去年上升了近90%，5月贸易帐赤字从4月的178亿美元上涨至201.4亿美元。不过，5月的黄金进口增速却略低于4月138%的记录高位。
4月和5月因黄金的大幅下跌，加上当时印度正值节假日，该国燃起空前的”购金热”。同时作为黄金第二大消费国的中国也出现过这样的状况。
然而，印度民众对黄金过分的需求令政府头疼不已，印度的经常帐赤字已占到2012年第四季度GDP的6.7%，为历史最高水平。
巴克莱资本(Barclays Capital)周一表示，”我们预计印度6月黄金需求和进口会大大降低，可能未来也会维持在一个较低的水平。同时，我们预计印度6月的贸易帐赤字可能会大大减少。”
由于印度极力想控制经常帐赤字，而经常帐赤字扩大导致近期卢比兑美元下跌，而出口却未因此受到提振，如珠宝首饰以及药品出口的疲软。
印度贸易部表示，”印度5月进口额上升7%，至446.5亿美元。”
印度央行(RBI)周一表示，维持当前利率水平不变，因担心由于卢比的疲软以及过分控制经常帐赤字所来的通胀上行风险。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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