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法国兴业银行:现货黄金价格年底前或下探1200美元/盎司

 

  法国兴业银行(601166,股吧)(Societe Generale)周一(6月17日)下调了国际现货黄金价格的预期,并预计金价在年底之际会下跌到1200美元/盎司,该行指出,下调金价预期的原因在于前段时间国际黄金价格的跌幅超过了其之前的预计。

  法兴银行表示,此前金价在4月份出现的惊天大跌,和由美联储年内收缩量化宽松(QE)规模前景引发的市场情绪变化,已使得投资者对金价走势的预期产生了天翻地覆的变化,这意味着在今年下半年至明年间,现货黄金仍会面临相当大的市场抛售压力。

  而该行同时却也指出,在交易所交易基金减持黄金的同时,全球的实物黄金需求料因为金价的回落而升温,而这可能会对金价起到支撑作用,并使黄金价格在可预见的未来维持在1000美元/盎司以上。

  法兴银行预计,现货黄金价格在三个月期限内或跌至1265美元/盎司,此后在今年四季度时或触及1200美元/盎司。

 


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