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美联储本周议息 金融大鳄集体逼宫勿收水

 

  美联储的收水恐慌,在过去一段时间引发全球金融市场震荡。美联储本周议息,成为市场焦点,在会议召开前,无限量化宽松(Quantitative Easing,QE)最大受益者的众金融大鳄,纷纷争相表态,敦促美联储收水计划勿轻举妄动,否则会招致金融市场动荡,逼宫继续放水味浓。债王格罗斯认为,目前美国失业率仍高企,根本无加息条件,至于国际货币基金(IMF)则认为在此时停止买债,后果利多于弊。

  联储议息前夕,美股上周五淡静偏软,市场人士关注美储备会议结果,买卖谨慎,令到交投淡静,股市反覆偏软,反映市场恐慌情绪的VIX指数则上升4.5%。

  道琼斯指数高低点数波幅161点,全日下跌105.90点,收市报15,070.18点。标准普尔500指数回落9.63点,收市报1,626.73点,纳斯达克[微博]指数倒退21.81点,收市报3,423.56点。总结全周表现,3大指数分别下跌1.2%、1%以及1.3%。

  债王:现无条件加息

  现时市场焦点是美联储本周会议结果,因为美联储主席伯南克在5月22日的国会发言,令到当局可能退市的忧虑升温,引发市场资金抽走及美股股市下滑多日。
  美国太平洋资产管理(PIMCO)联席投资总监的格罗斯(市场称债王),在公司网页发表文章指,他看不到联储局在未来数年会明显提高利率,原因是目前7.6%的失业率仍然高企,至于4月美国消费者价格指数(CPI)按年仅增1.1%,与伯南克在去年底定下退市门槛仍有一段距离,分别是通胀率2.5%及失业率下跌至6.5%。

  至于总部位于华盛顿的IMF,则下调美国明年经济成长预估至2.7%,较4月预估值3%调降。IMF维持美国今年经济成长预估1.9%不变。IMF预期美联储庞大的每月购债金额至少持续至年底,并呼吁美联储谨慎处理宽松政策退场,避免冲击金融市场。

  G8续力撑日圆贬值

  另外,八大工业集团(G8),在明日开始召开一连两日会议,其一份文件指出,日本作出刺激经济措施,冀扭转长期通缩情况,反映该集团继续力撑日圆贬值。

  日圆兑美元上周连升四日,纽约尾盘报94.34日圆,跌1.07%,全日低位93.99日圆,为日本央行4月4日宣布1.4万亿美元购债计划刺激经济以来最低。按周表现为2009年7月来最差,大跌3.3%。Western Union Business Solutions高级市场分析师Joe Manimbo表示,在投资者对未来美国、日本和欧洲货币政策前景有更清楚了解前,日圆势将继续攀高。

 


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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