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金银突破区间 警惕上窜下跳

行情回顾

金银昨日最终上破三角形区间震荡的压力,虽然上破的走势被上方压力打压,但是上行的动力依旧不减。尽管如此,在今日晚间美国将会公布一个月的重磅数据,预计在亚欧盘不会有太大浮动,一切只为今晚八点半的财经数据公布。

昨晚美国公布的上周初请失业金人数和续请失业金人数均有所下降,而且据美国公布的5月挑战者裁员年率也有不小的下降幅度,报道称,数据表明美国的就业市场在温和成长。笔者认为,这不仅是在为今日的失业率的利好做着铺垫,而且是今年夏季美联储商议降低每月850亿美元的购债计划的先决条件。虽然,5月底美联储官员一直在否认可能消减购债计划,但是,经济的利好,复苏强劲的就业市场都是会给宏观政策过多干预减压的先决条件。

能够让我们出乎意料昨日公布的财经数据里,唯有欧央行利率决议并未像经济学家预估的降低0.25%的基准利率,而是维持0.5%不变。笔者认为,倘若真如预估的方式呈现给市场,可能市场理解的走势会和现在有较大不同,反而像欧央行的决定一样,市场才会认为高层对现在经济状态有很大的信心,而且一切都在掌握之中。据报道称,欧央行总裁德拉吉表示,降低存款利率并不是唯一的办法,欧央行还有更多的宏观调控,比如,向银行提供超长期贷款、促进有资产担保的证券市场等等,因此,欧元受到了欧央行强有力自信的影响,欧元兑美元货币兑突破压力位开始拉升。

全球最大黄金ETF SPDR方面继续坚持2.71吨,白银ETF iShares方面未有增减变动。

行情分析

国际黄金

金价突破三角形,随让上方压力不小,但是突破后的走势将会逐步明朗,尤其今晚将会公布非农和失业率等重要数据,预计亚欧盘时段行情变化不大。

国际白银

银价如同金价,三角形的破败将会继续延续,考虑到晚间数据将要公布,预计亚欧盘时段行情变化不大。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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