“非农”很争气 黄金很受伤
国际现货黄金上周五显著下挫,白银亦跌破重要技术支撑位。美国非农就业数据意外利好,从而提振美元走势,贵金属承压下挫。预计黄金短线可能维持震荡偏弱走势。
基本面:
上周五,德国4月季调后工业产出月率上升1.8%,为2012年3月以来最大升幅,预期持平,前值上升1.2%。同时,4月工作日调整后工业产出年率上升1.0%,前值下降2.5%。
数据显示,希腊第一季度未季调国内生产总值(GDP)年率修正为萎缩5.6%,萎缩幅度大于5月公布的5.3%。
数据显示,美国5月季调后非农就业人口增加17.5万人,预期增加17.0万人;4月下修为增加14.9万人,初值为增加16.5万人;3月上修为增加14.2万人,初值为增加13.8万人。同时,美国5月失业率升至7.6%,预期为7.5%,4月为7.5%。5月劳动参与率升至63.4%,前值为63.3%。
美联储前主席格林斯潘7日接受媒体采访时表示,即便美国经济还没有完全做好准备,美联储也应该及时开始将量化宽松措施(QE)的规模由当前的每月850亿美元向下削减。
8日的黄金ETFs数据显示,黄金ETF-SPDR Gold Trust上周五(6月7日)黄金持仓量减少0.60吨,至1007.14吨。
贵金属技术走势分析
技术走势图显示,国际现货黄金上周五大幅下挫,金价回破1400整数关口。目前短期日均线仍交错缠绕,但30日均线再次开始下移;RSI指标回落至弱势区域。预计黄金短线可能维持震荡偏弱走势。下方显著支撑在1370,一旦跌破该位,金价将跌至1355。上方初步阻力1400,其后阻力在30日均线所在处1415一带。建议投资者在跌破1370后追空黄金。
白银上周五显著回落,盘中跌破22.05支撑位。预计后市银价有望进一步走低,下方关键支撑在前期低点20.26一带。反弹需突破22.05才可缓解白银当前下行压力。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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