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美元全线溃败,推升金银绝地反击

  隔日黄金白银价格小幅收高,试图打破近期整理区间。全球汇市出现异常波动,非美货币出现全线大涨,此前重要阻力位纷纷攻克,美元指数失守82.00大关并创出三个月以来新低,美元/日元也大幅下跌并跌穿了96.00关口,打破了非农数据前的谨慎惯例。

  先是英央行维持0.50%基准利率与3750亿英镑资产购买规模不变,随后是欧央行利率决议维持0.50%基准利率不变。由于市场普遍预期维持基准利率不变,央行利率决议后市场振幅有限。市场对美联储的退出预期发生了实质性的转变,近期公布的美国经济数据参差不齐,不过就业复苏状况仍然相对迟缓,本周的公布的系列就业数据可以说都是周五即将公布的非农数据的提前预演,此前美国周三发布的ISM非制造业指数的就业分项指标意外下降,而ADP就业数据也疲软,令市场预期对非农数据普遍看淡,可以说市场对美联储退出的期盼已经大大削弱了,美元指数因此受到重挫创出三个月以来新低。

  黄金日内收盘走高,上破区间高位后受压回落,延续震荡整理态势,美元的重挫并没有提振金价走出强劲上扬走势,表现出黄金走势还是比较弱,不过短期美元如若再度走低,那么黄金可能出现爆发性走高。操作上黄金(T+D)建议逢低买入,参考价位279.50-280水平,止损278.60.

  白银日内小幅走高,但仍受制于布林线中规轨及20日均线水平,走势上在美元暴跌之时也表现的异常疲软,反弹乏力后可能继续震荡下行,操作上白银(T+D)暂时观望


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