花旗集团下调未来3年金价预估
关键词：集团评估
花旗集团周四在报告中宣布下调多数贵金属的价格预估，并预期今年四季度金价将继续承压。不过，花旗认为到2016年黄金均价可能出现反弹。
花旗将2014年黄金均价预估从1300美元/盎司下调至1275美元/盎司，将2015年黄金均价预估从1365美元/盎司下调至1225美元/盎司，将2016年黄金均价预估从1380美元/盎司下调至1300美元/盎司。
花旗认为，未来三个月金价将继续受美元走强以及美联储明年升息预期的打压。该行强调，眼下金价仍在一个明显下行趋势中，此前的地缘政治风险支撑已经消散，而市场对美联储明年加息的预期不断升温也将削弱了黄金的买兴。
与此同时，花旗还强调，自今年二季度开始美元与黄金之间一年期负相关性再度回归。而近期全球黄金ETF持仓量也跌至1695公吨，为2009年四季度来最低水平，尽管今年为止累计黄金ETF累计外流的68公吨与去年869公吨相比相差胜远。
另外，花旗还在报告中将2014年白银均价预估自20.30美元/盎司下调至19.60美元/盎司；将2015年白银均价预估自21.20美元/盎司下调至18.70美元/盎司。该行指出，和黄金一样，预计白银将在2016年重启反弹，但将均价自此前22美元/盎司下调至20美元/盎司。
铂系金属方面，花旗将2014年铂金均价预估自1475美元/盎司下调至1422美元/盎司；将2015年铂金均价预估自1600美元/盎司下调至1500美元/盎司；将2016年铂金价格预估自1710美元/盎司下调至1675美元/盎司。
同时，花旗将2014年钯金均价自835美元/盎司下调至824美元/盎司，并维持2015年925美元/盎司以及2016年935美元/盎司预估不变。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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