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市场静待美国数据 黄金低位震荡

关键字:现货黄金走势

欧洲时段,金价走势再度出现一波快速跳水,直接逼近1250心理关口,同时刷新日内低点1251。造成此种下跌状况,主要是因为市场对今晚美国公布的GDP数据和初请失业金数据均有较好的期待,受到该乐观预期影响,黄金只能继续承压下跌。

周四市场焦点在今晚20:30的美国第一季度GDP修正值数据上,市场预计美国第一季度实际经济增速将下修且录得三年来最差表现。不过,市场应该会忽略这一糟糕表现,因经济学家非常看好后市经济表现。由于极端严寒天气的影响,自去年四季度起美国经济受到了较大的拖累。对此,市场已经有了消极的预期,预计美国一季度的GDP增速将由初值增长0.1%被进一步大幅下修至负增长0.5%左右。

而另一方面,市场对于美国的就业市场仍然有较大的期待,虽然之前美国的初请失业金数据低于市场预期,让市场大失所望,但是由于近期美国经济数据表现良好,市场预计本次美国的初请失业金数据将会有所下降。由于市场的乐观预期,这将不利于近期金价走势。

技术分析:国际现货黄金现交投于1250-1253一线位置,由现在的盘面上看,1250一线位置尚具备一定的支撑能力。但是黄金的下行趋势已经正式成型,布林线喇叭口正式开始发散,短期内黄金的反弹压力位则位于布林线下轨的1268位置。由于黄金短期内的大幅度下跌,均线系统全部呈现空头排列状况。我们大田贵金属建议投资者短期内仍然以做空为主。

操作建议:

做多:开仓1250 止盈1258 止损1238

做空:开仓1256 止盈1245 止损1265



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