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现货黄金站稳5日均线 日内可看多

关键字:国际现货黄金走势、金价止跌

【行情回顾】

亚市早盘,国际现货黄金位于1290/92附近水平整理。在跌破1300关口和200日均线之后,黄金终于在1278/80附近得以支撑,迎来一根涨幅为1%左右的大阳烛。这也是自1391遭遇回调后,黄金半个多月来的最大单日涨幅。

【基本面分析】

昨夜公布的美国2、3月ADP数据未能抑制黄金突破1290的势头,数据公布后,国际现货黄金价格延续欧盘至1282的冲高势头,最高触及1294美元。

受美国数据提振,以及欧元下跌的影响,美国股市和美元双双走高。但国际金价的强劲反弹,令市场出现罕见的三者同步现象。

IMF主席再放宽松言论,也支撑了避险黄金。IMF主席拉加德指出全球经济复苏状况仍然疲弱且步伐缓慢。去年全球整天经济增速约为3%,而预计今明两年的经济状况将相比去年进一步好转。

金价自3月中旬下跌以来,已经连续震荡下跌了十几个交易日,下跌幅度已经达到今年涨幅的一半。价格的走低使得实物黄金买盘开始活跃,支撑了金价日内的反弹。此外,印度央行行长的言论也支撑了黄金的实物买盘。印度央行行长Raghuram Rajan表示,必须缓慢、平稳地解除对黄金进口的限制。

【技术面分析】

亚市早盘时段国际现货黄金稳站在1290上方,通过三天的日K线图来观察,金价在1280美元/盎司附近形成底部分型,5日均线1287成功上破,后市看多的可能性增大,有望上穿1300大关。

本日建议,客户可低位轻仓做多,目标1300,止损1287,日间盈利不超15美元。

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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