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市场预期3月非农向好 现货黄金略跌

关键字:现货黄金行情

【基本面】

美国供应管理协会芝加哥分会(Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc.)周一公布的数据显示,美国3月中西部企业活动的扩张幅度放缓,创去年8月以来最低。美国3月芝加哥采购经理人指数跌至55.9,预期59.0,前值59.8。

欧盟统计局(Eurostat)周一公布的数据显示,欧元区3月调和消费者物价指数初值年率增长0.5%,不及预期的增长0.6%,创自2009年来的新低。对于周四将举行的欧银利率决议来说,CPI再度走低意味着降或者负存款利率的可能性大幅上升。

美国达拉斯联储(Dallas Fed)周一发布报告称,美国3月达拉斯联储制造业活动指数为4.9,2月为0.3。该指数高于零说明制造业处于扩张状态,低于零则意味着制造业出现萎缩。美国3月达拉斯联储产能利用率指数为13.1,前值9.1。

【技术分析】

技术分析:由现货黄金日K线图上看,黄金自1392位置高点以来,直到今天最低点的1278位置,黄金已经完全形成了新的下降趋势。在黄金下跌的途中,虽然偶尔有所反弹,但是反弹力度非常之弱,同时在下跌期间,MACD绿柱量能持续放大,意味着空头的强势。同时均线已经呈现空头排列,MA5和MA60在昨日出现死叉,导致黄金近期反弹可谓压力重重。我们大田金业认为,在黄金没有明确的触底信号出现之前,建议投资者主要以短线快速操作为主。

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