南非标准银行：金价上扬难 预计仍走软
关键字：金价上扬
国际现货黄金周一(3月24日)纽约时段盘末持续在1310美元下方徘徊，期间曾刷新1307.54美元/盎司的一个多月低位，原因是市场担忧美联储可能在明年春季升息，刺激更多卖盘。
南非标准银行(Standard Bank)周一表示，“我们仍认为在缺乏亚洲实物金需求的支撑下，当前金价想要上扬十分困难，并预计未来金价可能继续走软。另外，随着期货市场的黄金净多头头寸占未平仓百分比达到24.2%的5年均值，加之我们预计未来几个月美国实际利率将因为美联储货币政策逐渐正常化而走高，金价将面临更多的下行压力。”
该行补充道，“从下图中可以观察到，黄金价格与美国长期实际利率(接近美国10年期与通胀相关的国债收益率)有很强的负相关性，因此美国10年国债收益率走高将导致金价下滑。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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