美股大幅反弹 现货黄金走势或将回调
关键字:现货黄金走势
【基本面】
美股在经过年初大幅回落后开始反弹,目前市场信心逐渐回升,逢低买盘的介入推动股市有望继续刷新高。美国经济有望加速复苏,美联储在耶伦的带领下延续宽松货币政策也为股市继续上涨提供了保证。日内圣路易斯联储主席布拉德在讲话中继续表示对于美国经济的乐观观点,美股早盘也因此一度走高。美国经济的乐观前景也让市场逐渐消化了美联储逐渐削减QE规模的短暂利空,股市继续走高的可能性较大。
日内公布的美国政府1月份预算赤字报告显示美国1月份赤字104亿美元,大幅低于市场预期308亿美元。美国财政赤字减少也有利于股市上涨。另外日内中国公布的1月份出口增速大幅高于市场预期,这也提升了市场信心。股市在经过前期的修正回调后逐渐步入正常轨道。
【行情分析】
黄金价格周三几无变动,因技术买入推动金价升至三个月高位约1,300美元后有获利了结,且市场希望美国联邦储备委员会(美联储/FED)将继续其有序缩减购债的计划。
金市在三日大幅攀升后稍作喘息,此前美联储主席叶伦表明不会突然改变联储逐步收紧货币刺激计划的承诺。
交易商说,黄金抹去稍早涨幅,因金价未能在1,300美元阻力位上方延展涨势后,投资人对黄金的涨势获利了结。
“可能形成了双底形态,且升穿短期趋势线。如果金价能升穿1,300美元,未来几周很可能升至介乎1,350-1,375美元,”Wells Fargo Securities交易策略部主管Rick Bensignor说。
1958GMT,现货金升0.2%,报1,293.55美元,稍早触及1,295.91美元的三个月高位。
COMEX-4月期金升5.20美元,结算价报每盎司1,295美元。根据路透初步数据显示,成交量较250日均值低约30%。
上市交易基金SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量周二增加1.80吨,至798.85吨。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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