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美国2013年12月领先指标低于预期

关键字:美国2013年12月领先指标

经济咨商理事会(The Conference Board)23日公布,12月领先指标月增0.1%至99.4(2004年基期=100),虽然稍低于路透社调查预估的月增0.2%,不过,11月增率则由0.8%上修至1%。经济咨商理事会总体经济分析主任Ataman Ozyildirim指出,领先指标是被金融面的贡献所拱高,但是消费者信心以及住宅类营建仍对景气造成下方风险。当月同步指标上扬0.2%(前月增0.4%)至108.1。同步指针组成项目包含就业、薪资、产出、销售等,是衡量景气转折的参考依据。

另外,确认景气循环的落后指标月增0.至121.2(前月增0.3%)。构成落后指针的因子有,每单位输出的劳动成本、平均主要利率、平均失业时间、销货/库存比率与服务业消费者物价指数等。

 

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