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本周看多黄金市场人士接近60%

关键字:黄金市场

上周五公布的调查显示,本周看多的市场人士接近60%,部分人士看空,少数人士看平。

接受调查的33个市场人士中,27人本周做出了回应,其中16人看涨,8看跌,3人中立。市场人士包括实物金交易员、投资银行、期货交易员、货币管理者和技术分析师。

在此前一周的调查中,超过50%的市场人士看涨。而截至目前为止,本周COMEX 2月期金已经累计上涨6.40美元。

看多人士称,当前黄金的技术面情况已有所改善,因此下周金价将获得支撑上扬。

Morrison on the Markets编辑Ken Morrison表示,“尽管眼下黄金的基本面因素十分的混乱,同时多数人依然持有长期看空的观点,但本周金价还是录得一定程度的上扬,COMEX期金未平仓合约数量也增长了超过30000合约。另外从技术面来看,当前金价有足够的动能上行至1275美元区域(8月末下行趋势38%回撤),预计下周就能触及该价位。”

Adrian Day Asset Management首席执行官Adrian Day称,“上周公布的12月非农就业报告曾创下三年多来低位,意味着有更多美国人离开了就业市场,这也是失业率为何下降至6.7%的原因。鉴于这个原因,美联储短期可能不会再次缩减QE,利好黄金。”

看空人士称,本周金价的上扬只是暂时的,投资者可能在下周开启逐步获利了结。

Phoenix Futures and Options负责人Kevin Grady称,“本周COMEX期金未平仓合约数量已从上周跳涨3.2万张,暗示更多激进的多头入场。然而,一旦这些多头开始获利了结,则金价必将重回此前的下行趋势。”

 

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