预期美联储退市放缓 现货黄金走势倾向空头
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
偏宽松派耶伦已确定为美联储下一任主席，将于 2月1日起继任。析认为，尽管耶伦比现任主席伯南克有更宽松的倾向，但美联储的退市大趋势已开始，预计节奏可能放慢，但不会改变方向。耶伦将面临如何处理三轮宽松留下4万亿美元的资产负债表、美元利率上升以及以何种节奏退出QE的挑
自9月提名以来，市场对耶伦上任的预期已被充分消化了，因此市场反应并不大，尽管耶伦个人更偏向宽松，但美联储是集体决策，美国经济形势是确定退市的关键。预计在耶伦主导之下，退市的大方向不会改变，但步伐可能会放慢。
【行情分析】
而日内数据方面，美国11月贸易赤字收窄至342.5亿美元，创2009年10月以来最低，表明美国国内经济复苏势头增强，向好的贸易数据支撑美元从而对金价构成打击。技术面和基本面都利空黄金，因此倾向做空。
操作建议：做空，止损1245上方，目标看向1180附近
阻力位：四小时图压力线1245，日图布尔带上轨1260
支持位：日图布尔带中轨1222，整数位1200
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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