美股走势反弹 黄金现货保持逢低买入
关键字：黄金现货走势、美股走势
【基本面】
对于伯南克的讲话，市场将关注与削减QE有关的观点。12月份，美联储意外宣布将从1月份开始每月削减100亿美元资产购买规模，因美国经济持续复苏足以承受美联储开始收紧货币政策。从近期的数据来看，也与美联储的政策立场一致。昨日公布的美国12月ISM制造业采购经理人指数为57.0，仅次于11月57.3的全年高点，新订单指数为64.2，为2010年4月以来最高，这意味着近期美国制造业活动仍然保持强势。同时美国11月营建支出月率增长1.0%，创下五年新高。
不过从股市反应来看，上个月美股在美联储宣布削减QE之后美股大涨，之后连创历史新高。表明该因素对于投资者来说已经不是担忧，而是乐观，因美国经济前景的改善暗示企业盈利前景更加亮丽，且美联储承诺将维持超低的利率水平，廉价的融资成本也增加了企业的盈利空间。因此，伯南克对股市的影响可能有限，而之后市场将更多地关注美国经济面。
不过另外值得注意的，美联储启动削减QE之路或引发美债收益率攀升。近期美国10年期国债收益率已上破3%，录得新高。若收益率继续攀升，或吸引部分资金进入美债市场。同时黄金白银市场年底企稳反弹，也有望吸引一些资金。而美股在年初可能面临一些回调压力。
【技术分析】
日K线上，本周黄金走出三连阳，金价强势突破boll中轨以及MA30，逼近上轨，短期均线组金叉也给予金价支撑的动力，附图指标MACD也在零轴下方放量，多头势不可挡，上方或将测试前期多次触及回落的关键压力区域1250-1255一带，4小时周期金价自本周突破13年12月份高点1268下跌以来的趋势线后，已经暗示短期多头开启反弹，更上方压力位或将关注前一轮下跌的起点位1268美元/盎司，下周支撑也将着重参考日K线boll中轨1222-1223一线，短期支撑可参考1228-1230一线，操作上保持逢低买入。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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