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摩根士丹利:维持Fed明年3月减码预期

关键字:美联储削减量化宽松规模

摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)外汇策略小组近日的一份报告中表示目前仍维持美联储(Fed)将于明年3月份退出QE的基本预期,并将失业率门槛从6.5%下调至6%。”

但是,该机构表示,“由于美国公开市场委员会(FOMC)年内屡屡做出意外举措,年底前外汇市场仍存很大的不确定性,因此仍然需要汇市走势的可能性做一些分析,而高风险货币兑日元将走强。”

同时摩根士丹利也表示如果美国公开市场委员会(FOMC)议息会议决定缩减量化宽松政策,但并没有对政策前瞻性指引做出明显改动,则美元将全面走强。但是,美元兑日元除外,因市场避险操作可能令美元兑日元承压走弱。

 

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