国际现货黄金继续下行 早段买盘受影响
关键字:国际现货黄金
【基本面】
日本央行今日公布利率决议,虽然依然维持按兵不动,不过日央行再度强调将继续量化宽松的货币政策,日元在利率决议之后便开始回落,而在随后日本央行行长表示“如果出现风险,将毫不犹豫调整政策”,这一表态似乎又再度提升了市场对于日央行的宽松预期,日元在随后持续回落,日元交叉盘普遍上涨,受益于英镑日内的涨势,英镑/日元突破163大关,上破09年高点。
商品货币继续回落,与日内市场的主流趋势似乎有悖,实际上,今日美股,原油等风险资产均出现大幅上涨,暗示市场风险偏好似乎有所复苏,但商品货币并没有跟随风险偏好上涨。
明日需要关注的主要是德国GDP数据,近期欧元区经济数据表现好坏不一,市场对欧央行的进一步宽松预期也有愈演愈烈的态势,作为历来的强硬派,德国官员向来对宽松政策持谨慎态度,因此,若德国经济数据走弱,市场对于德国官员的立场预期可能发生转变。
【行情分析】
昨日国际现货金继续作下行走势。在亚盘开市在1243美元,经过上日受会议纪要上,有部份官员提及在接下来的会议纪要上开始决定其中一次会减少买债计划,消息一出后,令金价走低到1241附近,而今天早段受到买盘影响,令金价少幅向上做好到1249美元,其后亚盘中段及欧盘只作上落市况,而临近美盘开巿前曾一段做过全日最高位1250美元,及后开始向下回调,在美盘时段所公布的数据表现做好,进一步打压金价,在美盘开市不久,更一度做出全日低位1238美元,全日波动收窄只有12美元。
今天数据集中在德国和英国较多,而美国则没有数据所公布。今天预测会受到近日大户及基金经理开始作平仓获利,金价有机会再试在下个支持位1222美元,今天建议区间在1233~1255美元。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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