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高盛集团: 美国经济对金价有直接的影响

关键字:美国经济、金价

高盛集团(Goldman Sachs)大宗商品研究团队经理Jeffrey Currie在接受外媒采访时表示,目前市场普遍预期美联储将推迟缩减QE至明年,这对金价有很直接的影响。此前投资者不可对美国政府结束关门时金价的一波拉升过于乐观,你可以看到由于近期公布的美国经济转好,金价几乎回吐了绝大部分涨幅。

Currie还称,仍然认为未来金价的走势将取决于美国经济数据的好坏,如果数据一直向好,则金价势必会扩大跌幅。不过,目前金价并没有出现实际的下行风险,但这样的情况将在明年第一季度结束,因为届时美联储退出QE的预期将再度升温。

Currie指出,因美国经济将在未来逐渐转好,美联储会适当开始缩减QE规模,此前曾预计金价将在2014年末跌至1050美元/盎司。但需要强调的是,1050美元/盎司的价格预期仅仅是针对以美元计价的黄金。由于经济背景存在差异,伦敦金并不存在下行压力。

 

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