欧元区经济数据开差 提振美元 国际黄金承接昨日跌势
关键字:国际黄金
【基本面】
欧洲时段公布欧元区经济体数据普遍表现较差,提振美元∶
欧元区10月消费者物价指数年率初值录得2009年11月以来最低水平0.7%,大幅低于预期及前值;欧元区9月失业率再次升至记录高位12.2%。
德国9月零售销售意外下降0.4%,大幅差于预期及前值;9月零售额创今年3月以来最低水平。德国11月Gfk消费者信心指数意外降至7.0,低于预期及前值。
意大利10月消费者物价指数年率上升0.7%,创2009年10月以来最小升幅。意大利9月失业率进一步升至12.5%,创该数据自1977年有记录以来的新高;其中青年失业率升至40.4%高位。
【行情分析】
昨日现货金承接上日的向下走势,继续在开市后回调市况。金价在亚盘开市在1341美元,继续受到美联储维持买债计划及利率不变,消息缺乏新意,获利平仓盘出现,打压金价向下回,一直维持到欧盘时段,金价继续维持下行走势,受到欧元区的经济数据做差,令欧元对美元从1.372点子回调到1.358点子,大幅做差,令美元走强,继续打压金价向下,当临近美盘开市前一小时,受到美国公布初请失业人数好于前值,轻微做好,加上欧元汇率大幅做低位,令美汇走强,而且临近月尾的期货拆仓盘出现,亦进一步打压金价从1335美元下滑美盘开市前的1322美元,进入盘时段在低位继续窄幅横行上落,投资者已经对美联储所公布继续维持买债及低利率,证明美国经济还没有明显复苏迹象,令大市缺乏方向,金市及股市同样出现获利盘,金价一直在低位1323美元附近徘徊,直到收市。
今天预测先升后回稳横行市况,建议区间在1313~1338美元,上方破1338美元,有机会再试近日大阻力位1360美元;而下方穿位1313美元,有机会继续这两天下行走势到重点支持位1300美元附近。
今天公布数据不多,主要美注的在晚上10时所公布美国10月ISM制造业指数,前值58.2,预测58.1。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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