市场担忧美联储提早退市 金价依然疲弱
关键字：美联储退市、金价下跌
【基本面】
周四在美联储10月份货币政策会议后，市场 猜测美联储可能会比市场预期更早的削减QE规模，股市受此影响小幅下跌。原油价格继续承压下行，纽约原油期货收盘下跌39美分，报于96.38美元/桶。
尽管美联储在10月份的货币政策会议上维持每月850亿美元资产购买规模不变，但是美联储的声明使市场猜测美联储可能会提前缩减QE。此前市场普遍预期美联储将会在明年春季削减QE规模，但是目前市场认为没有排除在12月份削减QE的可能性。尽管近期经济数据表现低于市场预期而且美国政府关门影响美国经济增速，但是美联储的货币政策可能比市场预期温和。一旦美联储提前削减QE，股市短期内或将面临大幅下跌。
日内公布的上周初请失业金人数由上月的35万降至34万，但是高于市场预期33.8万，就业市场的复苏依然不够稳定。美国10月芝加哥采购经理人指数由上月的55.7升至65.9，远高于市场预期55.0，创下31个月新高，这意味着美国经济在加速扩展，这意味着美股有望继续刷新年内新高。
【技术分析】
黄金日内大幅下跌，日图上黄金短期见顶趋势明显，如果跌破100日均线，黄金或将继续下跌测试1300美元/盎司。金价高位回落，日内测试20/100日均线，下破则打开继续下行空间，倾向逢高做空。
操作建议：
1、 阻力位1423.7、1400、1364，若破败，可做空；
2、 支持位1300整数位，若反弹，做多，若跌破，做空；
支持位1253、1200，若反弹空头回补平仓。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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