金价上扬 中国对黄金热情减退
关键字：金价上扬、中国黄金
中国大陆民众对黄金的热情似乎有消退迹象，分析人士指出，这可能是受到金价持续上扬、大陆黄金进口量攀升以及投资人对现金的需求增加影响。
华尔街日报30日报导，澳盛银行(Australia & New Zealand Banking Group, ANZ)发表研究报告指出，上海黄金交易所昨(29)日的现货报价每盎司约较伦敦低了2.5美元，为今(2013)年以来首见。上海黄金现货报价今年通常都高于伦敦，4月份的溢价额甚至多达每盎司30美元，当时是因为国际金价大跌引爆大陆消费者、投资人买金狂潮的关系。
不过，澳盛银行驻扎在新加坡的分析师Victor Thianpiriya表示，金价已超过1,330美元，而大陆的需求也随之趋疲。Thianpiriya认为，在连续数月热络抢进之后，大陆民众的买金需求也许已暂获满足。他在上海黄金现货价格低于伦敦后，对黄金的短期市况就抱持悲观态度。
Phillip Futures投资分析师Joyce Liu则表示，中国人民银行开始缓步将流动性撤出金融系统，可能促使部分投资人决定卖金求现。
在上海银行间同业拆放利率(Shibor)一路走高之时，人行昨(29)日重启已经暂停了三期的逆回购，向市场放水130亿元。人行从10月17日暂停逆回购以后，回购利率一直持续飙升。北京商报报导，据统计，昨日隔夜回购利率较10月22日上涨了158基点，7天期回购利率较10月22日上涨了142基点，14天期回购利率较10月22日上涨了284基点。
不过，人行虽通过7天期逆回购操作向市场轻微注水130亿元人民币，但仍未能纾缓市场资金面。香港经济通报导，Shibor短钱息率今日继续上升，隔夜息攀升至5.23%，一周也达5.593%。
虽然大陆黄金需求可能趋缓，但当地今年的进口量仍有望创下史上新高。彭博社8月15日报导，世界黄金协会(WGC)8月份的统计显示，拜中国大陆、印度分别成长54%、51%之赐，第2季全球黄金首饰需求量年增37%至575.5公吨、创2008年第3季以来新高。此外，由于大陆、印度需求倍增，全球第2季金条/金币需求量更年增78%至创纪录的507.6公吨。根据WGC预估，今年大陆进口的黄金总量有望突破1,000公吨，创历史新高纪录。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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