市场疑虑美国财政问题 黄金价反复走强
关键字：黄金价
【行情回顾】
上周五，美联储罗森格伦表示2008年危机过去5年之后融资稳定性的担忧仍然存在，另外美联储官员埃文斯也表示对抗金融不稳定的货币政策，可能导致通货膨胀低于目标和更多资源浪费，加上美国债务问题逼近，澳大利亚财政情况出现恶化，美指走弱，伦敦金受避险买盘支持，企稳1300美元关口并反弹至日内高点1344美元。
【基本面】
本周亚市美元跳空低开，而美国主权信用违约掉期也一路上扬。价格波动充分体现了投资者对美国财政问题的担忧及市场风险情绪的上扬。
而本周最大的风险事件，莫过于将于周五公布的非农业就业报告。上次美联储利率决议推迟削减再度证明了非农业就业数据的重要性，而10月30日利率决议是否削减则取决于经济数据，这将非农业就业报告再度推向了风口浪尖。美联储之前延迟削减，究竟是对经济数据真的有所担忧，还是为了缓冲财政问题带来的风暴，本次非农报告或许能让我们明白。一份利好的非农业就业报告或将舒缓全球资本市场的疑虑，并使得风险情绪快速升温。
债务上限截止日期抛开不看，本周还有相当多的风险事件。本周IMF将更新2013经济前景报告，而全球金融稳定报告亦为投资者所看重。另外，美国9月ISM制造业及服务业报告也将于本周出炉。
【技术分析】
日线图显示，OSC于零轴下方减弱，KD向上运行。
小时图显示，RSI维持50上方，OSC维持正面，MACD向上运行。表明伦敦金受避险买盘支持下跌动能减弱，短线偏向区间整理，关注1365美元阻力。预计短期，伦敦金将整固5日平均线1330美元支持，若持稳回升，则向上测试1365美元。
金价反复偏强，现价1338
支持位1320、1328
阻力位1350、1359
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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